Newmarket South, Newport News, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Newmarket South

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Newmarket South is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.

 

About 62% of adults in Newmarket South typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newmarket South, ~50% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Newmarket South compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Newmarket South leans more Democratic than 5 of 8 neighbors.

Newmarket South runs about 53 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Newmarket South. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+41), a spread of about 25 points.

Why Newmarket South leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newmarket South, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in Newmarket South have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 39%).

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Newmarket South, Newport News, VA sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Newmarket South looks the way it does

Turnout in Newmarket South sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.