Crains Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Crains Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Crains Mills, ~23% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Crains Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Crains Mills leans more Republican than 80 of 114 neighbors.
Crains Mills runs about 53 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Crains Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Crains Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Crains Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Crains Mills votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Crains Mills runs about 53 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Crains Mills sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 76% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Crains Mills, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Crains Mills looks the way it does
Turnout in Crains Mills sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Truxton, NY R+43
- Tripoli, NY R+44
- Cuyler, NY R+44
- East Homer, NY R+40
- Little York, NY R+31
- Apulia Station, NY R+27
- DeRuyter, NY R+43
- Union Valley, NY R+45
- Lincklaen, NY R+49
- Preble, NY R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rokeby, NE R+32
- Gray, NY R+52
- Lacey, KY R+67
- Gravel Hill, AR R+68
- Mount Hope, WA R+56
- Bynum, MT R+59
- West Brooksville, ME D+22
- Marsland, NE R+77
- Rockford, NE R+64
- Middle Run, WV R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.