Crawford leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Crawford typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Crawford, ~29% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Crawford compares
Crawford sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Crawford runs about 40 points more Democratic than Iowa as a whole. Iowa leans Republican overall, while Crawford is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Crawford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Crawford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 91% of adults in Crawford have never been married, far above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 43%). Crawford runs against the grain of Iowa, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Crawford, Ames, IA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Crawford looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 91% of households in Crawford rent, about 66 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Crawford report food insecurity, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Iowa State University, Ames, IA D+22
- College Creek, Ames, IA D+25
- Meredith, Des Moines, IA D+17
- Lower Beaver, Des Moines, IA D+23
- Oak Park, Des Moines, IA D+27
- Highland Park, Des Moines, IA D+19
- Douglas Acres, Des Moines, IA D+4
- Beaverdale, Des Moines, IA D+39
- Merle Hay, Des Moines, IA D+24
- Union Park, Des Moines, IA D+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Northpoint, Milwaukee, WI D+57
- Old North Dayton, Dayton, OH D+3
- Bay Colony, League City, TX R+14
- Sun Groves, Chandler, AZ R+8
- South City Community, Wichita, KS D+10
- St Jean, Detroit, MI D+87
- Powning Addition, Reno, NV D+36
- Firestone-Garden Park, Charlotte, NC D+78
- Rocky Ridge, Aurora, CO D+32
- Crestview, Austin, TX D+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Iowa Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.