Sun Groves leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Sun Groves typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sun Groves, ~35% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sun Groves compares
Politically, Sun Groves sits close to the rest of Arizona.
Why Sun Groves leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sun Groves, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sun Groves votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 89% of households in Sun Groves are family households, above 96% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Sun Groves, Chandler, AZ sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Sun Groves looks the way it does
Turnout in Sun Groves sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- San Tan Ranch, Gilbert, AZ R+16
- Power Ranch, Gilbert, AZ R+16
- Clemente Ranch, Chandler, AZ Even
- Downtown Chandler, Chandler, AZ D+22
- The Islands, Gilbert, AZ R+5
- Heritage District, Gilbert, AZ D+5
- Circle Cross Ranch, San Tan Valley, AZ R+22
- Pecan Creek, San Tan Valley, AZ R+23
- Southeast Mesa, Mesa, AZ R+18
- Southwest Mesa, Mesa, AZ D+14
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South City Community, Wichita, KS D+10
- Crawford, Ames, IA D+26
- St Jean, Detroit, MI D+87
- Northpoint, Milwaukee, WI D+57
- Bay Colony, League City, TX R+14
- Old North Dayton, Dayton, OH D+3
- Crestview, Austin, TX D+66
- National Hills, Augusta, GA D+29
- West End, Portland, ME D+77
- Powning Addition, Reno, NV D+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.