Crofton is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Crofton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Crofton, ~12% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Crofton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Crofton leans more Republican than 29 of 67 neighbors.
Crofton runs about 31 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Crofton. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+55), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Crofton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Crofton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Crofton hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Kentucky average of 19%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Crofton, KY sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Crofton looks the way it does
Turnout in Crofton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mannington, KY R+69
- Kelly, KY R+62
- Fruit Hill, KY R+67
- Fearsville, KY R+69
- Hawkins, KY R+68
- Nortonville, KY R+61
- St. Charles, KY R+68
- White Plains, KY R+65
- Cerulean, KY R+62
- Kirkmansville, KY R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Huntsville, MO R+61
- Ellis, KS R+57
- Olin, NC R+61
- East Waterboro, ME R+37
- Hampton Station, TN R+30
- Newbury, NH D+8
- Tremont, PA R+47
- Colwich, KS R+63
- Michie, TN R+77
- Amity, AR R+71
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.