Kelly is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Kelly typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kelly, ~13% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kelly compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kelly leans more Republican than 33 of 63 neighbors.
Kelly runs about 31 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kelly. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+58), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Kelly leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kelly. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kelly, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kelly looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Kelly own their home, about 12 points above the Kentucky average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crofton, KY R+61
- Fruit Hill, KY R+67
- Fearsville, KY R+69
- Hopkinsville, KY R+13
- Cerulean, KY R+62
- Julien, KY R+59
- Hawkins, KY R+68
- Mannington, KY R+69
- Gracey, KY R+58
- Church Hill, KY R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kingston, VA R+50
- Matville, OH R+46
- Otto, AR R+67
- Newman Grove, NE R+73
- Rushville, NE R+63
- Pilot Grove, MO R+61
- Wade, OH R+61
- Hermon, NY R+28
- College Hill, KY R+57
- Valier, MT R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.