Denali Borough leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 66% of adults in Denali Borough typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Denali Borough, ~21% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Denali Borough compares
Denali Borough runs about 24 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Why Denali Borough leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Denali Borough. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Denali Borough, AK does.
Why turnout in Denali Borough looks the way it does
Turnout in Denali Borough sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK R+9
- Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK R+39
- Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area, AK D+17
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK R+33
- Anchorage Municipality, AK D+20
- Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK R+27
- Northwest Arctic Borough, AK D+17
- Yakutat City and Borough, AK Even
- Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK D+13
- Kodiak Island Borough, AK R+16
Counties with Similar Populations
- Dundy County, NE R+67
- Daniels County, MT R+66
- Jerauld County, SD R+48
- Lane County, KS R+78
- Taliaferro County, GA D+16
- Comanche County, KS R+73
- Powder River County, MT R+72
- De Baca County, NM R+35
- Hodgeman County, KS R+77
- Irion County, TX R+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.