Lake and Peninsula Borough leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 73% of adults in Lake and Peninsula Borough typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake and Peninsula Borough, ~41% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake and Peninsula Borough compares
Lake and Peninsula Borough runs about 27 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Lake and Peninsula Borough is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Lake and Peninsula Borough leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake and Peninsula Borough, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in Lake and Peninsula Borough have never been married, modestly above similar-sized counties (around 23%). Lake and Peninsula Borough runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lake and Peninsula Borough looks the way it does
Turnout in Lake and Peninsula Borough sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Bristol Bay Borough, AK Even
- Dillingham Census Area, AK D+19
- Kodiak Island Borough, AK R+16
- Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK R+27
- Bethel Census Area, AK D+18
- Anchorage Municipality, AK D+20
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK R+33
- Aleutians West Census Area, AK Even
- Aleutians East Borough, AK D+6
- Denali Borough, AK R+37
Counties with Similar Populations
- Wheeler County, OR R+51
- Kiowa County, CO R+72
- Sully County, SD R+62
- Throckmorton County, TX R+76
- Wallace County, KS R+83
- Irion County, TX R+69
- Piute County, UT R+78
- Briscoe County, TX R+71
- Edwards County, TX R+42
- Carter County, MT R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.