De Baca County leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 63% of adults in De Baca County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in De Baca County, ~21% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How De Baca County compares
De Baca County runs about 41 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while De Baca County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within De Baca County. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 22 points.
Why De Baca County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for De Baca County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in De Baca County live in densely developed areas, about 13 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and De Baca County sits in the bottom quarter (about 8%, in the bottom fraction of counties). De Baca County runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as De Baca County, NM does.
Why turnout in De Baca County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. De Baca County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Guadalupe County, NM Even
- Roosevelt County, NM R+37
- Curry County, NM R+34
- Quay County, NM R+32
- Chaves County, NM R+37
- Parmer County, TX R+50
- Bailey County, TX R+49
- Harding County, NM R+37
- San Miguel County, NM D+24
- Cochran County, TX R+47
Counties with Similar Populations
- Powder River County, MT R+72
- Comanche County, KS R+73
- Hodgeman County, KS R+77
- McCone County, MT R+72
- Jerauld County, SD R+48
- Daniels County, MT R+66
- Golden Valley County, ND R+69
- Dundy County, NE R+67
- Cheyenne County, CO R+72
- Oldham County, TX R+80
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.