Southeast Fairbanks Census Area leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 69% of adults in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, ~21% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southeast Fairbanks Census Area compares
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area runs about 26 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Southeast Fairbanks Census Area. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Southeast Fairbanks Census Area leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area looks the way it does
Turnout in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK R+9
- Denali Borough, AK R+37
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK R+33
- Anchorage Municipality, AK D+20
- Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area, AK D+17
- Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK R+27
- Yakutat City and Borough, AK Even
- Skagway Municipality, AK R+23
- Haines Borough, AK R+17
- Kodiak Island Borough, AK R+16
Counties with Similar Populations
- Monroe County, AR R+33
- Huerfano County, CO R+7
- Weston County, WY R+68
- Broadwater County, MT R+54
- Charles City County, VA D+8
- Thurston County, NE D+23
- Pembina County, ND R+51
- Tucker County, WV R+50
- Clinch County, GA R+51
- Refugio County, TX R+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.