Derby Center is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 80% of adults in Derby Center typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Derby Center, ~39% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Derby Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Derby Center sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 2 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 34 leaning the other way.
Derby Center runs about 35 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Derby Center sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Derby Center. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Derby Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Derby Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Derby Center votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Derby Center runs about 35 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Derby Center, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Derby Center looks the way it does
Turnout in Derby Center sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Derby, VT R+7
- Newport, VT R+5
- Derby Line, VT R+17
- West Charleston, VT R+34
- Holland, VT R+31
- Coventry, VT R+30
- Newport Center, VT R+28
- Morgan Center, VT R+32
- Morgan, VT R+30
- Orleans, VT R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tanner Williams, AL R+84
- Vaudreuil, WI D+26
- Central City, CO D+10
- Gilcrest, CO R+56
- Barlow, KY R+65
- Avon, IL R+44
- Netarts, OR D+5
- Howland, ME R+39
- Fort Harrison, MT R+15
- Fairchild, WI R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.