Morgan leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 79% of adults in Morgan typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Morgan, ~28% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Morgan compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Morgan leans more Republican than 32 of 49 neighbors.
Morgan runs about 62 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Morgan is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Morgan leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Morgan, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Morgan votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Morgan runs about 62 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Morgan, VT sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Morgan looks the way it does
Turnout in Morgan sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Morgan Center, VT R+32
- East Charleston, VT R+32
- West Charleston, VT R+34
- Holland, VT R+31
- Island Pond, VT R+19
- Derby Center, VT R+2
- Westmore, VT R+35
- Derby, VT R+7
- Derby Line, VT R+17
- Evansville, VT R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Albert, KS R+67
- Crystal Bay, NV Even
- Snowdoun, AL D+19
- Pleasant Plains, NC D+51
- Rossie, NY R+41
- Gerlaw, IL R+46
- Lemoyne, NE R+72
- Debs, MN R+45
- Deskins, VA R+72
- Hannibal Center, NY R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.