Derby leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 81% of adults in Derby typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Derby, ~38% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Derby compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Derby leans more Republican than 5 of 36 neighbors.
Derby runs about 40 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Derby is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Derby. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Derby leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Derby, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Derby votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Derby runs about 40 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Derby, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Derby looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Derby is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Derby Center, VT R+2
- Derby Line, VT R+17
- Newport, VT R+5
- Holland, VT R+31
- West Charleston, VT R+34
- Coventry, VT R+30
- Newport Center, VT R+28
- Morgan Center, VT R+32
- Morgan, VT R+30
- Orleans, VT R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Laymantown, VA R+43
- Penhook, VA R+42
- Van Dyne, WI R+37
- Pactolus, NC R+16
- Waterboro, ME R+34
- Boothbay Harbor, ME D+25
- Traskwood, AR R+69
- Sunset, TX R+76
- McCrory, AR R+54
- Fort Gaines, GA D+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.