Downtown Jacksonville, Jacksonville, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Downtown Jacksonville

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Downtown Jacksonville leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.

 

About 38% of adults in Downtown Jacksonville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Jacksonville, ~28% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Downtown Jacksonville compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Downtown Jacksonville leans more Democratic than 19 of 30 neighbors.

Downtown Jacksonville runs about 59 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Downtown Jacksonville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Downtown Jacksonville. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+59) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+42), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Downtown Jacksonville leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downtown Jacksonville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Downtown Jacksonville votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Downtown Jacksonville runs about 59 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Downtown Jacksonville have never been married, above 90% of neighborhoods.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Downtown Jacksonville, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Downtown Jacksonville looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Downtown Jacksonville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 30%, about 26 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 96% of households in Downtown Jacksonville rent, compared to around 52% in nearby neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Downtown Jacksonville sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.