Grand Park is a Democratic stronghold. About 92% of voters here vote Democratic and 8% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Grand Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grand Park, ~67% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grand Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Grand Park leans more Democratic than 18 of 19 neighbors.
Grand Park runs about 97 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Grand Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Grand Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grand Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grand Park votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Grand Park runs about 97 points more Democratic.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Grand Park, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Grand Park looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Grand Park sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Magnolia Gardens, Jacksonville, FL D+84
- Moncrief Park, Jacksonville, FL D+82
- Mid-Westside, Jacksonville, FL D+82
- 45th and Moncrief, Jacksonville, FL D+78
- Woodstock, Jacksonville, FL D+56
- Lackawanna, Jacksonville, FL D+61
- Brentwood, Jacksonville, FL D+76
- Springfield, Jacksonville, FL D+51
- Lake Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+66
- Tallulah-North Shore, Jacksonville, FL D+50
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Johnson Ranch, Roseville, CA R+2
- College View, Starkville, MS D+4
- Prairie Hills, Madison, WI D+64
- Landon Branch, Waco, TX R+16
- Crooked River Ranch, Terrebonne, OR R+43
- Wortendyke, Midland Park, NJ R+2
- Woodhaven, Fargo, ND R+13
- Eden Isle, Horizon West, FL R+6
- Glacier View, Everett, WA D+16
- El Paso Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.