Monterey leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Monterey typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monterey, ~31% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monterey compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Monterey leans more Democratic than 12 of 27 neighbors.
Monterey runs about 28 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Monterey is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Monterey. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+30) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Monterey leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monterey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Monterey votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Monterey runs about 28 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Monterey, Jacksonville, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Monterey looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Monterey is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 64% of households in Monterey rent, compared to around 41% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Arlington, Jacksonville, FL D+18
- Lake Lucina, Jacksonville, FL D+15
- Arlington Manor, Jacksonville, FL D+15
- Woodland Acres, Jacksonville, FL D+26
- Alderman Park, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- University Park-Jacksonville, Jacksonville, FL D+26
- Arlingwood, Jacksonville, FL R+2
- Woodmere, Jacksonville, FL R+6
- Glynlea-Grove Park, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Springfield, Jacksonville, FL D+51
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Shingle Creek, Minneapolis, MN D+47
- Harlan Ranch, Clovis, CA R+17
- Morristown Historic District, Morristown, NJ D+27
- Northridge, Orem, UT R+31
- Colonial Avenue Area, Roanoke, VA D+20
- North Main Historic District, Mount Vernon, OH R+36
- Roosevelt-Toledo, Toledo, OH D+89
- Mosswood, Oakland, CA D+82
- Summit Ridge at West Meadows, Dakota Ridge, CO D+15
- Columbine Knolls South, Columbine, CO D+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.