Moncrief Park is a Democratic stronghold. About 91% of voters here vote Democratic and 9% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Moncrief Park typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moncrief Park, ~53% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moncrief Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Moncrief Park leans more Democratic than 20 of 23 neighbors.
Moncrief Park runs about 95 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Moncrief Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Moncrief Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moncrief Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Moncrief Park votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Moncrief Park runs about 95 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in Moncrief Park have never been married, above 85% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Moncrief Park, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Moncrief Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Moncrief Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 31%, about 25 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 63% of households in Moncrief Park rent, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Moncrief Park sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Mid-Westside, Jacksonville, FL D+82
- 45th and Moncrief, Jacksonville, FL D+78
- Grand Park, Jacksonville, FL D+84
- Brentwood, Jacksonville, FL D+76
- Magnolia Gardens, Jacksonville, FL D+84
- Tallulah-North Shore, Jacksonville, FL D+50
- Springfield, Jacksonville, FL D+51
- Lake Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+66
- Panama Park, Jacksonville, FL D+41
- Woodstock, Jacksonville, FL D+56
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Plaza-Shamrock, Charlotte, NC D+68
- Norwood, Birmingham, AL D+74
- Downtown, Portland, ME D+68
- Parsons, Wilkes-Barre, PA R+9
- Columbia Center, Hammond, IN D+38
- Grafton Hill, Worcester, MA D+19
- Greendale Village, Needham, MA D+42
- Tice, Fort Myers, FL D+10
- Queens-Magnolia Terrace, Jackson, MS D+86
- Downtown, Kenosha, WI D+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.