South Lincoln leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 77% of adults in South Lincoln typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Lincoln, ~48% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Lincoln compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Lincoln leans more Democratic than 65 of 77 neighbors.
South Lincoln runs about 8 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Why South Lincoln leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Lincoln, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in South Lincoln hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in South Lincoln have never been married, above 85% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; South Lincoln, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in South Lincoln looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Lincoln is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in South Lincoln have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lincoln, VT D+25
- Ripton, VT D+27
- Bristol, VT D+20
- East Middlebury, VT D+22
- Warren, VT D+46
- New Haven, VT D+13
- Lower Granville, VT D+19
- Middlebury, VT D+47
- Granville, VT D+16
- Weybridge, VT D+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fivemile, WV R+55
- Kirkpatrick, OH R+57
- Lanse, PA R+58
- Palito Blanco, TX Even
- Woodmans Mills, ME R+12
- Carmen, OK R+79
- Beechwood Manor, VA R+10
- Douds, IA R+57
- Valmy, NV R+68
- Forkville, MS R+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.