Dutch Harbor is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 40% of adults in Dutch Harbor typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dutch Harbor, ~20% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dutch Harbor compares
Dutch Harbor runs about 15 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Dutch Harbor sits closer to the political middle.
Why Dutch Harbor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dutch Harbor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dutch Harbor votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Dutch Harbor runs about 15 points more Democratic.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Dutch Harbor, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dutch Harbor looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dutch Harbor is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 75% of households in Dutch Harbor rent, compared to around 48% in nearby cities. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Dutch Harbor have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Unalaska, AK Even
- Akutan, AK D+6
- False Pass, AK D+6
- King Cove, AK D+6
- Sand Point, AK D+9
- St. Paul, AK R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Conehatta, MS R+31
- Elk Rapids, MI Even
- Brewster, OH R+56
- Carlin, NV R+64
- Cross Hill, SC R+50
- Cloudcroft, NM R+31
- Concord, OH R+43
- Macdona, TX R+15
- Good Hope, GA R+67
- Ledbetter, KY R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.