Effingham leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 74% of adults in Effingham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Effingham, ~32% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Effingham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Effingham leans more Republican than 49 of 89 neighbors.
Effingham runs about 18 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, and Effingham sits clearly on the Republican side.
Why Effingham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Effingham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Effingham votes against the grain of New Hampshire. New Hampshire is roughly evenly split, while Effingham runs about 18 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Effingham, NH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Effingham looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Effingham is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Center Ossipee, NH R+16
- Moultonville, NH R+15
- West Ossipee, NH R+6
- Water Village, NH R+5
- Tuftonboro, NH R+32
- Ossipee, NH R+26
- Whittier, NH Even
- South Effingham, NH R+26
- Freedom, NH R+4
- Center Tuftonboro, NH Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cornwall, ID R+45
- Woodston, KS R+76
- Taintor, IA R+50
- Joplin, MT R+66
- Etna, AR R+70
- Rosemont, WV R+59
- Opekiska, WV R+12
- Brassell, AL D+53
- Virginia City, MT R+50
- Flower, WV R+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.