El Paso de Robles is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 67% of adults in El Paso de Robles typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Paso de Robles, ~33% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Paso de Robles compares
Among cities within 25 miles, El Paso de Robles sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 6 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 15 leaning the other way.
El Paso de Robles runs about 23 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while El Paso de Robles sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within El Paso de Robles. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 26 points.
Why El Paso de Robles leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Paso de Robles, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
El Paso de Robles votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while El Paso de Robles runs about 23 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; El Paso de Robles, CA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in El Paso de Robles looks the way it does
Turnout in El Paso de Robles sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Paso Robles, CA R+32
- Wellsona, CA R+38
- Templeton, CA R+18
- Whitley Gardens, CA R+50
- San Miguel, CA R+17
- San Lawrence Terrace, CA R+48
- Atascadero, CA R+7
- Klau, CA R+19
- Creston, CA R+35
- Garden Farms, CA R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rochester, NH R+9
- Franklin Town, MA D+16
- Seaside, CA D+36
- Pullman, WA D+44
- Union City, GA D+79
- Andover, MN R+14
- Paradise Hills, NM D+6
- Laguna Hills, CA D+2
- Savage, MN D+10
- Shelbyville, TN R+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.