Garden Farms leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Garden Farms typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garden Farms, ~25% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garden Farms compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garden Farms leans more Republican than 19 of 28 neighbors.
Garden Farms runs about 42 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Garden Farms is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Garden Farms leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garden Farms, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Garden Farms votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Garden Farms runs about 42 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Garden Farms, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Garden Farms looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Garden Farms is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Garden Farms have completed high school, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Santa Margarita, CA R+23
- Atascadero, CA R+7
- Creston, CA R+35
- San Luis Obispo, CA D+39
- Templeton, CA R+18
- Pozo, CA R+27
- Whitley Gardens, CA R+50
- El Paso de Robles, CA R+2
- Morro Bay, CA D+16
- Los Osos, CA D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- White Oak, WV R+65
- O'Donnell, TX R+74
- Willeyton, NC R+26
- Tee Harbor, AK D+12
- Barataria, LA R+75
- Center Sandwich, NH D+25
- Hardin, IL R+56
- Sacred Heart, MN R+40
- Alex, OK R+73
- Lester, AL R+80
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.