Elko New Market leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Elko New Market typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elko New Market, ~39% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~-9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elko New Market compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elko New Market leans more Republican than 31 of 63 neighbors.
Elko New Market runs about 32 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Elko New Market is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elko New Market. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Elko New Market leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elko New Market, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elko New Market votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 56%, far above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 92% of households in Elko New Market are family households, in the top fraction of cities. Elko New Market runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elko New Market, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Elko New Market looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elko New Market is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Elko New Market own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Elko New Market have completed high school, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Market, MN R+32
- Elko, MN R+34
- Webster, MN R+38
- Little Chicago, MN R+36
- Veseli, MN R+44
- Lonsdale, MN R+28
- Lakeville, MN Even
- Castle Rock, MN R+33
- Millersburg, MN R+29
- Lydia, MN R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lake Odessa, MI R+37
- Florence, TX R+47
- Waterloo, WI R+18
- West Wareham, MA R+9
- Montebello, NY R+13
- Oak Hill, OH R+63
- Ohatchee, AL R+79
- Ashford, AL R+65
- Bucksport, ME R+17
- Foster, RI R+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.