Lonsdale leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 96% of adults in Lonsdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lonsdale, ~35% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lonsdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lonsdale leans more Republican than 19 of 52 neighbors.
Lonsdale runs about 32 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lonsdale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lonsdale. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Lonsdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lonsdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lonsdale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 35%, modestly above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Lonsdale are family households, above 79% of cities. Lonsdale runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lonsdale, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lonsdale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lonsdale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Lonsdale own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Lonsdale have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Veseli, MN R+44
- Webster, MN R+38
- Little Chicago, MN R+36
- Millersburg, MN R+29
- New Market, MN R+32
- Montgomery, MN R+36
- Elko New Market, MN R+28
- Shieldsville, MN R+38
- New Prague, MN R+31
- Elko, MN R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kenneth City, FL R+16
- Meadowview, VA R+59
- Olalla, WA R+5
- Lancaster, WI R+25
- Elverson, PA R+19
- Southold, NY Even
- Cambria, CA D+25
- Clare, MI R+28
- Dilley, TX R+13
- Indian Hills, NV R+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.