Ellenburg Center leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Ellenburg Center typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellenburg Center, ~20% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellenburg Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellenburg Center leans more Republican than 32 of 49 neighbors.
Ellenburg Center runs about 45 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Ellenburg Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Ellenburg Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellenburg Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Ellenburg Center votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Ellenburg Center runs about 45 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Ellenburg Center sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 81% of cities). A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Ellenburg Center fits that profile on both counts.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Ellenburg Center, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ellenburg Center looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ellenburg Center is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Ellenburg Center report food insecurity, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ellenburg, NY R+34
- Churubusco, NY R+34
- Ellenburg Depot, NY R+35
- Forest, NY R+36
- Lyon Mountain, NY R+30
- Merrill, NY R+31
- Chateaugay, NY R+31
- Irona, NY R+36
- Thayer Corners, NY R+36
- Altona, NY R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ellisforde, WA R+41
- Claridon, OH R+60
- Barbours Creek, VA R+63
- Mountain Scene, GA R+61
- Smoot, WY R+78
- Turrell, AR R+21
- Buxton, ND R+41
- New Prospect, TN R+72
- Gillett, FL R+41
- Mimbres, NM D+2
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.