Ellenburg leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Ellenburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellenburg, ~19% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellenburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellenburg leans more Republican than 32 of 45 neighbors.
Ellenburg runs about 46 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Ellenburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Ellenburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellenburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Ellenburg, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the New York average of 34%. Ellenburg runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Ellenburg, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ellenburg looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ellenburg is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Ellenburg report food insecurity, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ellenburg Center, NY R+33
- Forest, NY R+36
- Ellenburg Depot, NY R+35
- Churubusco, NY R+34
- Irona, NY R+36
- Mooers Forks, NY R+36
- Lyon Mountain, NY R+30
- Altona, NY R+35
- Merrill, NY R+31
- Chateaugay, NY R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fords Corner, TX R+41
- Moselem Springs, PA R+39
- Cedar Fort, UT R+69
- Gonyon, VA R+25
- Knighthood Village, IN R+47
- Pompey, NY R+16
- Hathaway Pines, CA R+10
- Rogers Mill, PA R+63
- DeLamere, ND R+52
- Natural Bridge, AL R+86
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.