Elroy leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Elroy typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elroy, ~24% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elroy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elroy leans more Democratic than 34 of 48 neighbors.
Elroy runs about 20 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Elroy is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elroy. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Elroy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elroy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 39% of adults in Elroy have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 26%). Elroy runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Elroy, TX does.
Why turnout in Elroy looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elroy is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 11 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 52% of adults in Elroy have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mustang Ridge, TX D+3
- Del Valle, TX D+20
- Mendoza, TX R+11
- Lytton Springs, TX R+7
- Dale, TX R+13
- Garfield, TX R+8
- Cedar Creek, TX R+19
- Creedmoor, TX D+29
- Niederwald, TX Even
- Hornsby Bend, TX D+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nederland, CO D+54
- Elizabethville, PA R+52
- Peninsula, OH Even
- Beulah, MI R+12
- Springville, CA R+29
- Teutopolis, IL R+60
- St. Paul, NE R+58
- Glen Dale, WV R+42
- Cedar Crest, NM Even
- Dayton, WA R+50
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.