Estes is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Estes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Estes, ~20% vote Democratic, ~72% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Estes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Estes leans more Republican than 14 of 16 neighbors.
Estes runs about 43 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Estes leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Estes. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Estes, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Estes looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. More than 99% of adults in Estes have completed high school, about 14 points above the Texas average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fulton, TX R+50
- Rockport, TX R+44
- Bayside, TX R+59
- Aransas Pass, TX R+46
- Woodsboro, TX R+37
- Refugio, TX R+32
- Ingleside, TX R+45
- Vidaurri, TX R+48
- Gregory, TX R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zylks, LA R+39
- Yarrelton, TX R+69
- Rome, AL R+93
- Massillon, IA R+46
- Campbell Creek, NC R+10
- Haggard, KS R+76
- New Markham, TN R+66
- Sunshine, WY R+76
- St. Clairsville, PA R+68
- Copeland, OK R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.