Fair Oaks is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Fair Oaks typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fair Oaks, ~35% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fair Oaks compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Fair Oaks leans more Democratic than 7 of 17 neighbors.
Fair Oaks runs about 34 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Fair Oaks. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+63) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+49), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Fair Oaks leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fair Oaks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Fair Oaks live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Fair Oaks, North Fair Oaks, CA does.
Why turnout in Fair Oaks looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 25% of homes in Fair Oaks have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Fair Oaks sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Fair Oaks have completed high school, below 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Redwood Village, Redwood City, CA D+49
- Friendly Acres, Redwood City, CA D+47
- West Atherton, Atherton, CA D+43
- Staumbaugh Heller, Redwood City, CA D+51
- Downtown Menlo Park, Menlo Park, CA D+71
- Roosevelt-San Francisco, Redwood City, CA D+54
- Centennial, Redwood City, CA D+61
- Belle Haven, Menlo Park, CA D+50
- Downtown North San Jose, Palo Alto, CA D+64
- Farm Hills, Redwood City, CA D+59
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Augusta Street Area, Greenville, SC R+4
- Springfield, Jacksonville, FL D+51
- Marriott's Griffin Gate Golf Culb, Lexington, KY D+57
- South Amherst, Amherst, MA D+71
- Stephens, Little Rock, AR D+71
- Nassau Shores, East Massapequa, NY R+33
- Huguenot, Richmond, VA D+21
- Las Vistas, Tucson, AZ D+44
- Belmont-Charlottesville, Charlottesville, VA D+61
- Plymouth Village, Redlands, CA D+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.