Fern Creek is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Fern Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fern Creek, ~37% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fern Creek compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Fern Creek sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 0 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.
Fern Creek runs about 32 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while Fern Creek sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Fern Creek. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Fern Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fern Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fern Creek votes against the grain of Kentucky. Kentucky leans Republican overall, while Fern Creek runs about 32 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Fern Creek, Louisville, KY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Fern Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in Fern Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Highview, Louisville, KY D+4
- Buechel, Louisville, KY D+31
- Klondike, Louisville, KY D+23
- Bon Air, Louisville, KY D+31
- Hikes Point, Louisville, KY D+15
- Okolona, Louisville, KY D+3
- Bashford Manor, Louisville, KY D+40
- Bowman, Louisville, KY D+19
- Belknap, Louisville, KY D+49
- Highlands Douglass, Louisville, KY D+57
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South Arroyo, Pasadena, CA D+55
- Greater Wythe, Hampton, VA D+59
- River Mountain, Henderson, NV R+13
- Douglas, Chicago, IL D+79
- East Little York-Homestead, Houston, TX D+65
- Glover Park, Washington, DC D+76
- Hybla Valley, Alexandria, VA D+43
- East Village, San Diego, CA D+44
- Ridgeland, Oak Park, IL D+82
- Elmhurst, Providence, RI D+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.