Fleming County is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Fleming County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fleming County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fleming County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Fleming County leans more Republican than 18 of 24 neighbors.
Fleming County runs about 31 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Fleming County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+54), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Fleming County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fleming County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Fleming County, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Fleming County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 8%, below 88% of counties).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Fleming County, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fleming County looks the way it does
Turnout in Fleming County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Mason County, KY R+42
- Bath County, KY R+61
- Nicholas County, KY R+60
- Rowan County, KY R+34
- Robertson County, KY R+61
- Lewis County, KY R+66
- Montgomery County, KY R+52
- Bracken County, KY R+58
- Menifee County, KY R+64
- Bourbon County, KY R+37
Counties with Similar Populations
- Cleburne County, AL R+84
- Missaukee County, MI R+49
- Torrance County, NM R+36
- Hamilton County, IA R+34
- Jackson Parish, LA R+43
- Arenac County, MI R+40
- Jackson County, TX R+62
- Kingfisher County, OK R+64
- Pecos County, TX R+28
- Clay County, SD D+2
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.