Flint leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Flint typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flint, ~30% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flint compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Flint leans more Republican than 75 of 108 neighbors.
Flint runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Flint is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Flint leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flint, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Flint votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Flint runs about 42 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Flint are family households, above 80% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Flint, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Flint looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Flint is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Flint own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stanley, NY R+28
- Orleans, NY R+30
- Hall, NY R+31
- Hopewell Center, NY R+27
- Geneva, NY D+21
- Oaks Corners, NY R+24
- Clifton Springs, NY R+14
- Phelps, NY R+18
- Cottage City, NY R+16
- East Potter, NY R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Midtown, TN R+59
- Rosine, KY R+70
- Sias, WV R+65
- Royal, NE R+77
- Rogers, LA R+95
- Rome, IA R+48
- Ulmer, SC R+33
- Keeter, TX R+75
- Bunola, PA R+39
- Ervintown, NC R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.