Cottage City leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Cottage City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cottage City, ~35% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cottage City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cottage City leans more Republican than 35 of 109 neighbors.
Cottage City runs about 28 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Cottage City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cottage City. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Cottage City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cottage City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cottage City votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Cottage City runs about 28 points more Republican.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cottage City, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Cottage City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cottage City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rushville, NY R+34
- Canandaigua, NY D+4
- Stanley, NY R+28
- Cheshire, NY D+7
- Hopewell Center, NY R+27
- East Potter, NY R+36
- Chapin, NY R+18
- Flint, NY R+29
- Centerfield, NY R+7
- Vine Valley, NY R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bellemeade, KY Even
- Hilliard, MO R+64
- Urbana, IN R+63
- Basye, VA R+35
- Warrior Run, PA R+25
- Forestport, NY R+37
- Puako, HI D+18
- Fulks Run, VA R+67
- Clarksburg, CA R+9
- Elnora, IN R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.