Forest Trails leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
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About 84% of adults in Forest Trails typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Forest Trails, ~62% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
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How Forest Trails compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Forest Trails is the least Democratic-leaning.
Forest Trails runs about 62 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Forest Trails is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Forest Trails. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+53) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+40), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Forest Trails leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Forest Trails, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 75% of residents in Forest Trails are Black or African American, about 62 points above the Florida average of 13%. Forest Trails runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Forest Trails, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Forest Trails looks the way it does
Turnout in Forest Trails sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
[one_half]Nearby Neighborhoods
- Biscayne Terrace, Jacksonville, FL D+65
- Sherwood Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+78
- Lincoln Villas, Jacksonville, FL D+61
- Biscayne, Jacksonville, FL D+59
- Highlands, Jacksonville, FL D+47
- Riverview, Jacksonville, FL D+57
- Turtle Creek, Jacksonville, FL D+75
- Lake Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+66
- Magnolia Gardens, Jacksonville, FL D+84
- 45th and Moncrief, Jacksonville, FL D+78
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Shore Acres, Staten Island, NY R+16
- Willamette-West Linn, West Linn, OR D+31
- Captain John Mullan, Missoula, MT D+12
- Golden Gate, Emeryville, CA D+81
- The Ws, The Colony, TX R+9
- Eastlake Vistas, Chula Vista, CA D+19
- Hudson Avenue Historic District, Newark, OH R+24
- Evergreen, Everett, WA D+7
- McKnight, Springfield, MA D+55
- Bartolo Square North, Oxnard, CA D+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.