Lake Forest is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Lake Forest typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Forest, ~51% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Forest compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Lake Forest leans more Democratic than 13 of 21 neighbors.
Lake Forest runs about 79 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Lake Forest is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Lake Forest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Forest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 80% of residents in Lake Forest are Black or African American, about 67 points above the Florida average of 13%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in Lake Forest have never been married, above 84% of neighborhoods. Lake Forest runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lake Forest, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lake Forest looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lake Forest is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 17 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Lake Forest have completed high school, below 78% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Tallulah-North Shore, Jacksonville, FL D+50
- Riverview, Jacksonville, FL D+57
- 45th and Moncrief, Jacksonville, FL D+78
- Panama Park, Jacksonville, FL D+41
- Brentwood, Jacksonville, FL D+76
- Highlands, Jacksonville, FL D+47
- Moncrief Park, Jacksonville, FL D+82
- Magnolia Gardens, Jacksonville, FL D+84
- Grand Park, Jacksonville, FL D+84
- Mid-Westside, Jacksonville, FL D+82
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Kinsmith, Cleveland, OH D+82
- Downtown Warren, Warren, PA R+14
- A.C.T., Evansville, IN D+15
- College Hill, Greensboro, NC D+76
- Rankin Historic District, Ironton, OH R+24
- Hackensack Riverfront, Jersey City, NJ D+46
- SW Jones, Wausau, WI Even
- Downtown Fontana, Fontana, CA D+20
- Orchard Breeze, Wichita, KS R+7
- Downtown Chandler, Chandler, AZ D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.