Magnolia Gardens is a Democratic stronghold. About 92% of voters here vote Democratic and 8% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Magnolia Gardens typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Magnolia Gardens, ~56% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Magnolia Gardens compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Magnolia Gardens is the most Democratic-leaning.
Magnolia Gardens runs about 97 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Magnolia Gardens is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Magnolia Gardens leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Magnolia Gardens, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Magnolia Gardens votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Magnolia Gardens runs about 97 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in Magnolia Gardens have never been married, above 77% of neighborhoods.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a high non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a lower rate; Magnolia Gardens, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Magnolia Gardens looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Magnolia Gardens is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 33%, about 23 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Grand Park, Jacksonville, FL D+84
- Moncrief Park, Jacksonville, FL D+82
- 45th and Moncrief, Jacksonville, FL D+78
- Mid-Westside, Jacksonville, FL D+82
- Woodstock, Jacksonville, FL D+56
- Lake Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+66
- Sherwood Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+78
- Riverview, Jacksonville, FL D+57
- Brentwood, Jacksonville, FL D+76
- Lackawanna, Jacksonville, FL D+61
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Woodbury-Glendale, Glendale, CA D+26
- Embassy Lakes, Cooper City, FL D+5
- Belmont, Detroit, MI D+87
- Greater Oakhill, Evansville, IN R+18
- Broadmoor, Daly City, CA D+36
- Lynn Knoll, Aurora, CO D+30
- Marvintown, Erie, PA D+27
- Central State, Schenectady, NY D+30
- Village Park, McKinney, TX D+2
- Southpoint, Milwaukee, WI D+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.