Lenwood leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Lenwood typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lenwood, ~16% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lenwood compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lenwood leans more Republican than 3 of 10 neighbors.
Lenwood runs about 43 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Lenwood is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lenwood. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 49 points.
Why Lenwood leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lenwood, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lenwood votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, far below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Lenwood runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lenwood, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Lenwood looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lenwood is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 14 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in Lenwood rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Lenwood report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Barstow, CA R+13
- Nebo Center, CA R+23
- Hinkley, CA R+41
- Hodge, CA R+32
- Daggett, CA R+34
- Yermo, CA R+49
- Lockhart, CA R+48
- Helendale, CA R+29
- Newberry Springs, CA R+45
- Oro Grande, CA R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Derry, PA R+48
- East Corinth, VT R+9
- Rio Frio, TX R+68
- Etna, ME R+42
- Arkansaw, WI R+32
- Dale, OK R+63
- Simla, CO R+63
- Bay City, WI R+35
- Winkelman, AZ D+3
- Tsegi, AZ D+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.