South Van Horn leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 54% of adults in South Van Horn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Van Horn, ~22% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Van Horn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Van Horn leans more Republican than 6 of 11 neighbors.
South Van Horn runs about 6 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Why South Van Horn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Van Horn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in South Van Horn hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Alaska average of 20%.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a high frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; South Van Horn, AK sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in South Van Horn looks the way it does
Turnout in South Van Horn sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Wainwright, AK R+22
- Fairbanks, AK D+5
- College, AK Even
- Farmers Loop, AK R+18
- Steele Creek, AK R+27
- Badger, AK R+25
- North Pole, AK R+17
- Ester, AK D+21
- Eielson Afb, AK R+19
- Pleasant Valley, AK R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Walker, AR R+72
- Middleton Corner, OH R+62
- Mathews, LA R+55
- Cooperstown, IL R+60
- Drybranch, WV R+57
- Perks, IL R+59
- Belzoni, OK R+79
- Bendena, KS R+64
- Watts Bar Estates, TN R+64
- Rockport, IL R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.