Natrona Heights leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Natrona Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Natrona Heights, ~35% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Natrona Heights compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Natrona Heights leans more Republican than 86 of 226 neighbors.
Natrona Heights runs about 11 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Natrona Heights. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Natrona Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Natrona Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Natrona Heights votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, far above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Natrona Heights, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Natrona Heights looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Natrona Heights have completed high school, about 5 points above the Pennsylvania average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brackenridge, PA R+9
- Garvers Ferry, PA R+36
- Lower Burrell, PA R+25
- Tarentum, PA R+22
- Arnold, PA D+18
- Silverville, PA R+36
- New Kensington, PA R+8
- Creighton, PA R+16
- Leechburg, PA R+37
- West Leechburg, PA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cloverdale, CA D+33
- Algonac, MI R+33
- Frostburg, MD R+19
- Galena Park, TX D+6
- Park Hills, MO R+47
- Newcastle, OK R+56
- Shasta Lake, CA R+35
- Oakland, TN R+33
- Lyndon, KY D+16
- Springdale, OH D+23
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.