Gardner is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Gardner typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gardner, ~8% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gardner compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gardner leans more Republican than 21 of 27 neighbors.
Gardner runs about 53 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gardner. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+45), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Gardner leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gardner, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Gardner hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the Florida average of 31%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Gardner sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Gardner are family households, above 87% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Gardner, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Gardner looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Gardner is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Gardner have completed high school, below 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brownville, FL R+65
- Zolfo Springs, FL R+59
- Cubitis, FL R+64
- Limestone, FL R+68
- Lake Suzy, FL R+52
- Joshua, FL R+43
- Crewsville, FL R+70
- Southeast Arcadia, FL R+24
- Ona, FL R+68
- Arcadia, FL R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lottieville, FL R+70
- Ocoya, IL R+53
- Jay Em, WY R+81
- Bunavista, TX R+74
- McKendree, VA R+31
- Johnson Park, CA R+43
- Kellerville, IL R+72
- Alder, MT R+51
- Time, IL R+67
- Mendota, MN D+30
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.