Joshua leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Joshua typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Joshua, ~10% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Joshua compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Joshua leans more Republican than 6 of 21 neighbors.
Joshua runs about 30 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Joshua. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Joshua leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Joshua, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 5% of adults in Joshua hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points below the Florida average of 31%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Joshua sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Joshua are family households, above 96% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Joshua, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Joshua looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Joshua is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 21 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 70% of adults in Joshua have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Suzy, FL R+52
- Southeast Arcadia, FL R+24
- Cubitis, FL R+64
- Brownville, FL R+65
- Arcadia, FL R+31
- Nocatee, FL R+66
- Gardner, FL R+66
- Pine Level, FL R+63
- Fort Ogden, FL R+61
- Hull, FL R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Barnesboro, PA R+60
- Shepardsville, MI R+31
- Vernon, MI R+34
- Bock, MN R+57
- Locke, NY R+36
- Livermore, CO R+15
- Cherry Tree, PA R+63
- Barnardsville, NC R+15
- Pine Valley, CA R+35
- Solomon, KS R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.