Gonzales leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Gonzales typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gonzales, ~21% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gonzales compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gonzales leans more Republican than 3 of 40 neighbors.
Gonzales runs about 17 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gonzales. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Gonzales leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gonzales, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gonzales votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 59%, well above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Gonzales sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 84% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Gonzales, TX does.
Why turnout in Gonzales looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Gonzales is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 5 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in Gonzales rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 72% of adults in Gonzales have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nickel, TX R+60
- Bebe, TX R+75
- Cost, TX R+74
- Hamon, TX R+75
- Harwood, TX R+61
- Hickston, TX R+61
- Oak Forest, TX R+74
- Monthalia, TX R+64
- Sandy Fork, TX R+53
- Glaze City, TX R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Camp Pendleton North, CA R+25
- Soldotna, AK R+30
- Dos Palos, CA R+11
- Krum, TX R+51
- Hudson, NC R+52
- Herkimer, NY R+17
- Woodfield, SC D+55
- York, NE R+45
- Ventnor City, NJ R+4
- Page, AZ D+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.