Dos Palos leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Dos Palos typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dos Palos, ~18% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dos Palos compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dos Palos leans more Republican than 4 of 17 neighbors.
Dos Palos runs about 31 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Dos Palos is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dos Palos. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+50), a spread of about 72 points.
Why Dos Palos leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dos Palos, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dos Palos votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 44%, modestly below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Dos Palos sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 84% of cities). Dos Palos runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Dos Palos, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Dos Palos looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dos Palos is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 11 points above the California average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 46% of households in Dos Palos rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in Dos Palos report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Dos Palos, CA R+14
- Oro Loma, CA R+24
- Santa Rita Park, CA R+55
- Los Banos, CA D+5
- El Nido, CA R+54
- Firebaugh, CA D+8
- Volta, CA R+19
- Mendota, CA D+12
- McSwain, CA R+37
- Chowchilla, CA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Krum, TX R+51
- Camp Pendleton North, CA R+25
- Soldotna, AK R+30
- Gonzales, TX R+30
- Herkimer, NY R+17
- York, NE R+45
- Woodfield, SC D+55
- Page, AZ D+3
- Mexia, TX R+18
- Bohemia, NY R+33
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.