Waddell leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Waddell typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waddell, ~29% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waddell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Waddell leans more Republican than 19 of 25 neighbors.
Waddell runs about 29 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Waddell. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Waddell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Waddell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Waddell votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 61%, well above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Waddell are family households, above 93% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Waddell, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Waddell looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Waddell own their home, about 19 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Luke Afb, AZ R+3
- Surprise, AZ R+20
- Litchfield Park, AZ R+9
- El Mirage, AZ D+3
- Youngtown, AZ R+11
- Goodyear, AZ R+8
- Sun City West, AZ R+16
- Buckeye, AZ R+16
- Sun City, AZ R+16
- Avondale, AZ D+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Osceola, IN R+27
- Kingsgate, WA D+40
- Villanova, PA D+27
- Half Moon Bay, CA D+42
- Jackson, OH R+54
- Richton Park, IL D+79
- Floyds Knobs, IN R+32
- Manchester, KY R+69
- Tomah, WI R+21
- Buzzards Bay, MA D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.