Goulding, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Goulding

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Goulding is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.

 

About 35% of adults in Goulding typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goulding, ~28% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Goulding compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Goulding is the most Democratic-leaning.

Goulding runs about 73 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Goulding is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Goulding. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+82) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+50), a spread of about 32 points.

Why Goulding leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goulding, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Goulding live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in Goulding have never been married, in the top fraction of cities. Goulding runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Goulding, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Goulding looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Goulding is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 34%, about 23 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 54% of households in Goulding rent, compared to around 37% in nearby cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Goulding sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.