Myrtle Grove leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Myrtle Grove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Myrtle Grove, ~25% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Myrtle Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Myrtle Grove leans more Republican than 8 of 32 neighbors.
Myrtle Grove runs about 5 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Myrtle Grove. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Myrtle Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Myrtle Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Myrtle Grove votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 82%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Myrtle Grove, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Myrtle Grove looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Myrtle Grove is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Myrtle Grove rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Warrington, FL R+14
- West Pensacola, FL D+19
- Pensacola, FL R+14
- Bellview, FL R+16
- Goulding, FL D+60
- Brent, FL D+20
- Ocean Springs, FL R+42
- Ensley, FL R+5
- Ferry Pass, FL R+15
- Lillian, AL R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aldine, TX D+6
- Zimmerman, MN R+40
- Manassas Park, VA D+19
- Wakulla Springs, FL D+49
- Celina, TX R+37
- Franklin, KY R+40
- Jamestown, ND R+28
- Dandridge, TN R+60
- Calera, AL R+19
- Badger, AK R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.