Warrington, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Warrington

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Warrington leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.

 

About 60% of adults in Warrington typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warrington, ~26% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Warrington compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Warrington leans more Republican than 5 of 29 neighbors.

Politically, Warrington sits close to the rest of Florida.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warrington. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+33) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 68 points.

Why Warrington leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warrington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Warrington votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 65%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Warrington, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Warrington looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Warrington is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Warrington rent, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.