Laurel Lake leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Laurel Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laurel Lake, ~26% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Laurel Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Laurel Lake leans more Republican than 43 of 102 neighbors.
Laurel Lake runs about 30 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Laurel Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Laurel Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laurel Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Laurel Lake hold a bachelor's degree, about 35 points below the New Jersey average of 43%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Laurel Lake runs against that pattern. Laurel Lake runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Laurel Lake, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Laurel Lake looks the way it does
Turnout in Laurel Lake sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Menantico, NJ R+42
- Port Elizabeth, NJ R+45
- Mauricetown, NJ R+35
- Millville, NJ D+5
- Centre Grove, NJ R+37
- Dividing Creek, NJ R+40
- Port Norris, NJ R+27
- Dorchester, NJ R+46
- Heislerville, NJ R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Arcade, NY R+44
- Lake Katrine, NY Even
- Village of Grosse Pointe Shores, MI R+14
- Cottage Hills, IL R+24
- Port Ewen, NY Even
- Goulding, FL D+60
- Long Beach, WA Even
- Lafayette, NY R+10
- Mount Pocono, PA D+12
- Mayville, MI R+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.