Green Valley, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Green Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Green Valley is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 89% of adults in Green Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Green Valley, ~45% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Green Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Green Valley sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 8 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.

Green Valley runs about 8 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Green Valley. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+6), a spread of about 13 points.

Why Green Valley leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Green Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Green Valley, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Green Valley looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Green Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Green Valley have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.