Sahuarita leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Sahuarita typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sahuarita, ~35% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sahuarita compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sahuarita leans more Republican than 11 of 15 neighbors.
Politically, Sahuarita sits close to the rest of Arizona.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sahuarita. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+35) and the north side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Sahuarita leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sahuarita, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sahuarita votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 56%, well above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Sahuarita are family households, above 87% of cities.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Sahuarita, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Sahuarita looks the way it does
Turnout in Sahuarita sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Green Valley, AZ D+3
- Corona de Tucson, AZ R+23
- Summit, AZ D+22
- Drexel Heights, AZ D+23
- Valencia West, AZ D+20
- Amado, AZ R+4
- Vail, AZ R+21
- South Tucson, AZ D+44
- Tucson Estates, AZ Even
- Tucson, AZ D+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Hill-Meridian, WA D+24
- Jamestown, NY R+7
- Linton Hall, VA D+9
- Parkland, WA D+16
- Greenfield, WI D+6
- Rock Island, IL D+29
- Saratoga Springs, NY D+23
- Gahanna, OH D+21
- Severn, MD D+34
- Russellville, AR R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.